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Have taxis finally hit rock bottom?

Posted by NYCYellowCabTaxi.com on April 13, 2017

A taxi medallion just sold 
for the lowest price in more than 
a decade. But new rules could 
help owners avoid huge losses

One of the 13,587 pieces of tin that give yellow cabs the right to pick up street hails sold in March for $241,000, a low not seen since the early 2000s and a far cry from the $1.05 million that a similar taxi medallion fetched in 2014.

For some quarters of the taxi industry, the sale is one more sign of how far the yellow cab business has deteriorated since Uber gained traction in New York starting in mid-2014. The previous low for a medallion sale during the past year was $325,000, last April, though there also have been sales, sometimes in foreclosure, for as much as $600,000.

But the low sales could be unreliable indicators, given the rule changes implemented by the Taxi and Limousine Commission to help stabilize the market for medallions.

The most recent change took effect March 21, shortly after the $241,000 sale. It allows owners of a single medallion to sell it to a fleet owner or to another so-called independent owner. Previously, those independent owners could sell only to a buyer who did not already own a medallion.

With few investors wanting to get into the taxi business, independent owners have struggled to find buyers. That has depressed prices further.

The March rule change followed the repeal last year of a regulation requiring independent owners to regularly drive the cab they own.

The new rules “are not panaceas, but they reduce the pressures in the market, and a seller may have an option other than going for the lowest price,” said Arthur Goldstein, attorney for the Taxicab Service Association, a group of credit unions.

The new rules also allow credit unions to work out arrangements with lease managers to take over foreclosed medallions and have them continue to earn money, rather than put them up for sale at distressed prices.

Goldstein added that the small number of sales taking place showed that owners were betting that the industry could turn itself around. “There aren’t five of these [low-priced] sales, or 10 of them,” he said. “There’s just this one.”

Nonetheless, credit unions have been hammered by the decline in medallion prices and the inability of drivers to pay off their loans, which sometimes include mortgages taken out against the higher, earlier valuation of their medallion. State regulators in February took control of troubled Melrose Credit Union, which managed thousands of taxi loans, after delinquencies surged. Montauk Credit Union was seized for the same reason in 2015.

Slump or catastrophe?

Still, the small number of sales and their differing circumstances have made it hard to gauge the market. Matthew Daus, a former head of the TLC, recently had a CPA do an appraisal, using a discounted cash flow analysis, for an independent medallion, as part of a bankruptcy case. His finding was that, as of the end of last year, it had a value of around $575,000.

Daus maintains that the industry’s performance has not been as bad as the decline in medallion prices would suggest.

He noted that the total number of taxi trips fell 11% last year, to about 123.7 million, according to TLC data. The total dollar figure for yellow taxi fares fell by 9% last year, to $1.8 billion. “They’re not great numbers,” he said, “but they’re not catastrophic.”

Fare sale

$241K—PRICE OF A MEDALLION sold last month
$1M—PRICE A MEDALLION fetched during the market’s peak in 2014

There is no question, however, that the business is in decline, which the industry blames partly 
on regulations—including wheelchair-accessibility 
mandates—that have been applied to cabs but not to e-hail vehicles. “What this sale demonstrates is what we, as independent medallion owners, have been saying for the past three years,” said Nino Hervias, a member of the Taxi Medallion Owner Driver Association. “The TLC’s failure to regulate this industry fairly has destroyed our investments and advanced the interests of a $60 billion corporate predator.”

Uber, meanwhile, maintains that it is looking after the interests of riders and of drivers who don’t own medallions.

“The price of a medallion is not an effective measure of how well our transportation system is serving riders,” a company spokeswoman said.

“Instead of serving banks and medallion owners, we should focus on the ability to finally get an affordable, reliable ride in communities outside of Manhattan, and offering drivers more choice.”

Even with the rule changes, there might be more trouble ahead for medallion owners.

“Allowing corporate fleets to bid for independent medallions is a positive development and could help stabilize the market,” said Keith Leggett, an analyst who follows credit unions. “However, the viewpoint of people who deal with distressed assets and who track the taxi market is that lenders are going to end up repossessing a large number of medallions. They will be coming onto the market in the second half of this year, and that will further depress the price.”

A version of this article appears in the April 10, 2017, print issue of Crain’s New York Business.

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12 thoughts on “Have taxis finally hit rock bottom?”

  1. Martin on April 20, 2017 at 3:02 pm said:

    I see that UBER is much bigger problem in New York than it is in Prague, Czechia. However getting a taxi license here is a lot cheaper and simpler… I wonder how difficult it actually gets in the US to work a taxi driver.

  2. kulikuli on April 20, 2017 at 5:53 pm said:

    NYC is NYC, you can not compare NYC with Prague, Czechia, the cost of living and the rules is totally different.

  3. meter peter on April 20, 2017 at 7:42 pm said:

    The TLCs agenda is to destroy the yellow taxi industry. Bloomberg said he would do exactly that and being a major operator he knew exactly how. Uber with Bloomberg pulling the strings and Yassky,Joshi and whomever else he set up to finish the yellows are just starting. Expect the finishing stroke in the near future.

  4. Weekly driver on April 20, 2017 at 8:31 pm said:

    Complete traffic jam also destroying the taxi business. More people are taking Subways and Buses!

  5. Jean duperval on April 21, 2017 at 3:06 am said:

    The mayor should be investigated for distroying the yellow cab industry. This is inside trade the tlc sale all the data to uber

  6. kulikuli on April 24, 2017 at 6:37 pm said:

    To does who said they prefer flying taxis, well, flying taxi is not gonna happen, and if they try, they will need parashoots to pull over to the curb.

  7. Egor on June 25, 2017 at 7:03 pm said:

    Blame is on Mayors of NYC, starting from rook Bloomberg and now Debilasio. After all they were controling taxi industry but they fail to protect it. They all take bribes. But the biggest son of a b– ch was Bloomberg. He was selling medallions over a million dollars and shortly after his term ended he invested in Lift. If kind act was performed in stock market, he would be in jail for long time

  8. Caridade on July 14, 2017 at 3:44 am said:

    Looking for day or night shift car for 4 days in woodhaven area Queens. 15 yrs license. nytwa member. 9292296312

  9. meter peter on July 15, 2017 at 11:43 am said:

    Expect major amount of foreclosures especially when owner drivers are forced to buy WC Access. It’s almost over for yellows. When there’s not enough yellows to service the public expect the TLC to use that as an excuse to allow uber street pick ups. They are already anyway.

  10. kulikuli on July 28, 2017 at 9:39 pm said:

    Governor Cuomo aloud Uber to operate in upstate NY without taxi plate! Guys, what are we going to do with this governor?

  11. Rafael on August 19, 2017 at 2:22 pm said:

    May be if the taxi fare could be lowered by eliminating this stupids extra charges forced by the CITY. ALL this extra charges suck,why the passengers have to pay those charges. All surcharges have to go.And why no extend life of the vehicle to 10 year as long it is in good conditios. I remember when the comm. force me out to retire my 1997 cr vic.in 2003. on the last JUN inspection o that year the inspector came to me with a list of about 15 .problems. 110 thousand miles ,in 6 yrs. I still have the car now have a 135 tho. Ipray things get better.

  12. CreditCardCabbie on November 2, 2017 at 5:46 pm said:

    NYC Pedicab charging $ 7.00 per minutes, no medallion, no $11.00 credit card fees, no MTA fees, no late fee charge …

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NYC Yellow Cab Taxi Lost and Found Service helps increase your chances of recovering your lost property that was left behind in a taxi cab. NYCYellowCabTaxi.com is a private blog about New York City Yellow Cab Taxis and is not affiliated with the New York City Taxi and Limousine Commission. Individual results may vary